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Spring will come, ready or not.
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Spring will come, ready or not.

Richard Merrick's avatar
Richard Merrick
Nov 02, 2020
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Outside the Walls
Outside the Walls
Spring will come, ready or not.
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Photo by Jeffrey Czum on Pexels.com

We're seeing great examples of the relative power of experts right now.

The team at Mercedes are absolutely dominant in F1. They're in a well defined highly boundaried system. Hiring the best experts, from Toto Wolff and Lewis Hamilton, to the best engineers, coaches and support staff. Getting each of them to understand their own domain intimately, and make continuous small improvements leaves everybody else aspiring to second place.

Then we have SAGE, the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies, all business leaders, and all politicians operating in an unbounded system, where domain expertise remains impressive, but no match for the circumstances they find themselves in. Anything they do generates a response in an area they do not expect. It's a no win situation.

When Complicated turns to Complex

When the complicated (F1) turns complex (the impact of Covid-19) experts are snowblind. They cannot see through the myriad, swirling pieces of data hurtling …

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