Seasons and Cycles

Whether nature or business, we are governed by the need to adapt to cycles. We welcome each one, knowing there are things we need to do to profit from the next cycle.

Much as we might like it to be different, there is no perpetual summer, and we can't go from spring to spring without doing the work in autumn and winter.

So why, I wonder do we think business is different? That with a bit of twiddling, we can live perpetually in summer?

The collapse of Thomas Cook is as iconic as it was inevitable. It's easy to see in retrospect that it needed to recognise that it was autumn ten years ago, and that it was in winter five years ago, but the investors wanted to wear their shorts by the pool, and the managers, instead of telling truth to power, did their best to provide, probably knowing it was futile, but hey, it wasn't their business........

Itinerant gardeers can move elsewhere, but the land isn't going anywhere, and nor are those who value it.

Right now, both meteorologically and economicall…